Celebrity advice

Lulu of the Lotus-Eaters mertz at gnosis.cx
Wed Aug 27 15:54:25 EDT 2003


"Andrew Dalke" <adalke at mindspring.com> wrote previously:
|US homicide rates are 9.2 +/- 1.0 per 100,000 claims
|Given a population of 4 billion (roughly, over the century) and assuming
|the US rate is average for the world, that's
|>>> 4000000000 / 100000. * 9.2

That homicide rate is a yearly rate.  If you want to find out how many
murders in a century, you'd need to multiply by 100.

Of course, in reality, the homicide rate is much lower outside of the
USA, so the base rate isn't good for extrapolation.  Of course, the
dominant reason the homicide rate is lower outside the USA is because
most places don't have so damn many handguns.

Yours, Lulu...

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